- Financial Frontier
- December 16, 2024
Navigating a Continued Decline in the Nasdaq
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The landscape of the American stock market on Monday unfolded with a mixed bag of outcomes, keeping investors on their toesThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, having recently lost crucial support levels, saw a slight rebound, but analysts remain cautious, noting that this uptick does not conclusively signal the end of recent declinesMeanwhile, the S&P 500, the broadest measure of market performance, inched close to its own support levels, raising questions about its future trajectoryIn stark contrast, the Nasdaq composite continued its downward spiral, following a steep drop the previous week, and analysts pointed to significant short-term risks as the next support level remained far off on the horizon.
In the technology sector, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has been trading in a fluctuating manner within a symmetrical triangle pattern, having faced previous resistance from a peak level
Currently, this index is gradually approaching its support level, and whether it can maintain this support will be critical in determining its future direction.
For Chinese stocks listed in the U.S., the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index has also been on a downward trend, having broken through key support levels last weekMonday’s session continued the bearish sentiment, with another drop that brought the index close to its lowest point, indicating that there may be significant room for further declines.
The real estate and biotechnology sectors reflected similar patterns of fluctuation, with the S&P Real Estate and S&P Biotech indices exhibiting downward movementsWhile there was a minor bounce back in biotech stocks on Monday, the overall trend of decline persistsThe real estate sector also failed to break through the established downtrend lines, leading to speculation that this could be a routine fluctuation within an ongoing downward trajectory.
On the commodities front, gold and silver futures found a momentary respite after experiencing recent pullbacks
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However, resistance was evident as gold struggled to breach past upward trend lines, which has left its future uncertainSilver, on the other hand, exhibited a more severe drop as it fell back from pressure levels without breaking its support, contributing to the ambiguity surrounding its direction.
Turning to oil, crude futures have seen a recovery, rising to the previous high resistance levels but still linger below these crucial thresholdsDespite a general upward trend in oil and gas prices, they are approaching a point of resistance that must be overcome to open the door to further increases.
In related stock performance, tech giants like Nvidia and Apple faced declines, while shares in the newly elected presidential media and technology company soared over 21%. This particular stock is now trading at its highest level since October 29. As Nvidia experienced a downturn of 2%, it dipped below its 50-day moving average, closing in on lows from mid-December
In after-hours trading, there was a slight rebound of 0.7%. Recent trading days have been tumultuous for Nvidia as the stock triggered a 7% decline rule after falling below a key buy point of 146.54, forming a double bottom pattern.
Other market leaders stumbled as well, with Palantir Technologies dropping 3.4% and Apple shedding 1%. Palantir fell below its 50-day line for the first time since August 5, while Apple abandoned this key benchmark on FridayFollowing substantial losses since December 26, Apple's stock retreated below its critical entry point of 237.49.
Later in the evening, KB Home experienced a nearly 8% rise in after-hours trading after the homebuilder announced quarterly results that exceeded expectations.
Looking ahead, the U.SDepartment of Labor is set to release the Producer Price Index for DecemberAccording to estimates by Econoday, the PPI is projected to increase by 0.3% month-over-month and 3.3% year-over-year, with core wholesale inflation anticipated to rise by 0.2% and 3.4%, respectively.
As for the day’s markets, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.9% while the S&P 500 gained 0.2%, contrasting sharply with the Nasdaq, which fell by 0.4%. However, a sense of optimism permeated the pre-open movements observed on Tuesday, with Dow futures climbing 0.1% against fair value indicators, reflecting a slight positive shift in market sentiment
The S&P 500 futures climbed by 0.3%, demonstrating improved expectations regarding the overall economic conditions and corporate earningsThe tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 futures stood out with a 0.4% increase attributed to recent optimistic news and innovation in the technology sectorNevertheless, investors are reminded that the movements of futures do not pinpoint which way the actual market will swing the following trading day.
As interest in the bond market persisted, the yield on 10-year U.STreasury bonds surged to 4.8%. The recent trend in oil prices continued upward, with West Texas Intermediate crude futures settling around $78.70 per barrelFor those tracking indexes, oil prices and bond yields remain focal points of concern.
In a reflection of broader market conditions, Monday saw six out of seven major tech stocks in decline, with the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF slipping 0.5%, which may signal a potential abandonment of the well-monitored 50-day line support level.
Alphabet showed a decline of 0.5%, extending its losing streak to four trading days which prompted it back into a buying zone, with a buy point set above 182.49 in a cup formation pattern.
Meta Platforms, despite a 1.2% decline on Monday following a bullish session on Friday, managed to stay just above its 50-day line, albeit hovering near its entry price of 602.95.
Moreover, Tesla surged by 2.2%, surpassing its 10-week line—a move indicating the potential entry into a new buying zone, although its stock still lingers around 18% lower than its 52-week high.
As market conditions evolve, investors are advised to maintain diligent risk management, keeping a close eye on underperforming positions and selling stocks that trigger sell rules potentially to mitigate losses.
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